Piece weight
Estimated static (dead) weight of the green wood piece, before any dynamic effects. This is what you'd feel hanging still on the rope.
Fall factor
How far the piece free-falls relative to the rope paying out (travel ÷ rope in system). Higher = a harsher catch. 0 means it loads with no slack.
Peak force (est.)
Estimated maximum shock load the rope, block, and anchor see at the instant the piece is caught — well above the static weight. Low = a well-managed catch; the high end is used for the verdict.
Safe limit (MBS ÷ factor)
Your chosen working ceiling: breaking strength ÷ the safety factor. Keep the peak below this for a PASS. Raise the factor for a bigger cushion.
Rope MBS
The rope's published average/minimum breaking strength — the absolute load it fails at, brand new. Never a target; always stay well under it.
Verdict
PASS: peak below your safe limit. CAUTION: over the limit but well below breaking strength. DANGER: approaching breaking strength (≥80% of MBS). NO-GO: peak meets or exceeds breaking strength.
lbf = pounds-force — the amount of force (pull) on the rope, block, and anchor, not the weight of the wood. As a feel for it, 1 lbf is roughly the downward pull of a 1 lb weight; a dynamic catch can briefly put many times the piece's weight onto the system. lb/ft³ is the wood's density (pounds per cubic foot).
How this was calculated
Volume = π × (½ × 16 in)² × 8 ft.
Weight = volume × 64 lb/ft³ (green Northern red oak) × 1.15 taper margin = 822 lb.
Fall factor = 1 ft ÷ 30 ft = 0.03.
Peak force = weight × configuration multiplier × (1 + min(FF, 1)) × rope-stretch factor.
Safe limit = 16,300 lbf MBS ÷ 2 dynamic safety factor = 8,150 lbf. Verdict compares the conservative upper peak-force bound to this limit and to MBS.
Model: field studies (Kane; Donzelli & Lilly) show peak forces ≈ 2–10× static weight. Multipliers — positive 1.5–3×, tip-tie 2.5–5×, negative 4–10× — amplified by fall factor and scaled by rope stretch. The peak is judged directly against breaking strength (single dynamic safety factor), not a separate 10:1 static working-load limit, to avoid double-counting the shock allowance.
Species source: USDA FPL Wood Handbook green weight; vault Quercus_Overview
Rope source: https://www.samsonrope.com/arborist/